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Lesson 1 · Market Structure

Higher Highs, Higher Lows, Lower Highs, Lower Lows: How to Read Trend in 60 Seconds

By Gene Jolley · October 31, 2026 · 12 min read

Before I look at an indicator, a news headline, or anybody's opinion, I ask one question: which way are the swings stepping? Four little labels answer it.

Price never moves in a straight line. It moves in waves: up a little, back a little, up again. Every wave leaves a peak (a swing high) and a valley (a swing low). When you compare each new peak and valley to the last one, you get four possible answers.

HHHigher High
The new peak is above the last peak.
HLHigher Low
The new valley is above the last valley.
LHLower High
The new peak is below the last peak.
LLLower Low
The new valley is below the last valley.

That's the whole alphabet. Now let's put the letters together.

1. The Uptrend: HH + HL

An uptrend is a staircase going up. Buyers keep pushing to new peaks (higher highs), and when price pulls back, it doesn't fall as far as last time (higher lows). Both conditions together. One without the other is not a trend.

HighHHHHHH HLHLHL Each peak higher than the last. Each dip shallower than the last.
Uptrend: the staircase steps up. Gold dots are your higher lows, the spots buyers defend.
What it means for me: In an uptrend I'm only thinking about calls. The best entries usually come at a higher low, after a pullback, not chasing at the top of a peak.

2. The Downtrend: LH + LL

Flip the staircase over. Sellers push price to new valleys (lower lows), and every bounce runs out of gas sooner than the last one (lower highs).

LowLLLLLL LHLHLH Each bounce weaker. Each drop deeper.
Downtrend: the staircase steps down. Gold dots are lower highs, the spots sellers defend.
What it means for me: In a downtrend I'm only thinking about puts. Downtrends are where I do my best work. Fear moves faster than greed, so drops tend to be cleaner and quicker than rallies.

3. The Trend Break: When the Story Changes

This is the most important chart on this page. A trend doesn't end with a headline. It ends with a broken pattern. Watch what happens when an uptrend prints its first lower high, and then a lower low.

last higher low HHHLHL LH: warning LL: trend broken LH Uptrend → first lower high (yellow flag) → lower low (it's over).
The first lower high is your yellow flag. The first lower low through the last higher low is your red flag.

The two rules I trade by

  1. No calls after a lower high. Once an uptrend prints a lower high, I stop buying calls until a candle closes back above that high.
  2. No puts after a higher low. Once a downtrend prints a higher low, I stop buying puts until a candle closes back below that low.

These two rules keep me out of more bad trades than anything else I do. A broken pattern means the other side has shown up. I don't need to know why. I just need to step aside.

4. The Squeeze: LH + HL at the Same Time

What if the highs are getting lower and the lows are getting higher? Nobody's winning. Buyers and sellers are being squeezed into a smaller and smaller box. This is a sideways wedge.

LHLHLH HLHL Breakout Highs falling, lows rising. No trade until one side wins.
Sideways wedge: no calls, no puts, until a candle closes outside the box. Then trade the direction it breaks.
What it means for me: I sit on my hands. Wedges chop up options buyers because premium bleeds while price goes nowhere. When it finally breaks, the move is often fast, and that's when I want to be paying attention.

5. Bodies, Not Wicks

Here's where beginners get fooled. A candle's wick (the thin line) shows where price visited. The body (the thick part) shows where price settled when the candle closed. I judge highs and lows by the bodies, after the candle closes.

prior body high Swing high wick poked above... ...body closed below = NOT a higher high
A wick that pokes through a level and gets rejected is a sign of weakness, not strength.

A long wick above a high usually means buyers tried, failed, and got pushed back. Counting that as a "higher high" would get you into a call at exactly the wrong moment.

6. Real Charts: What It Actually Looks Like

The drawings above are the clean version. Real 1-minute candles are messier. Swings overlap, little bounces fake you out, and the pattern bends before it breaks. So let's look at two real mornings of SPY on the 1-minute chart, Tuesday, October 27 and Wednesday, October 28, 2026, from 9:30 to 11:00.

Tuesday, Oct 27: the whole morning

Zoomed out, the story is simple. SPY dropped from its 9:39 high to its 10:21 low, then turned around and climbed to 11:00. One downtrend, one uptrend. Now let's zoom in and see how messy each half really was.

DOWN $2.94 in 42 min UP $3.88 in 39 min 765.00 766.00 767.00 768.00 769.00 9:30 9:40 9:50 10:00 10:10 10:20 10:30 10:40 10:50 11:00 High Low High
SPY 1-minute, Oct 27, 2026. Body high 768.20 at 9:39, body low 765.26 at 10:21, body high 769.14 at 11:00.

Zoom 1: the downtrend (9:35 to 10:24)

After the 9:39 high, SPY dropped hard into 9:53. Then it bounced, but the bounce at 9:57 stalled below the high. That's the first lower high. At 10:01 price pushed under the 9:53 low for a lower low. The staircase was stepping down.

765.00 765.50 766.00 766.50 767.00 767.50 768.00 768.50 9:35 9:40 9:45 9:50 9:55 10:00 10:05 10:10 10:15 10:20 H L LH LL LH HL? LH LL LL
Gold dashed line: the 10:01 body low at 765.67. The circled 10:11 candle held above it.

Here's the messy part. At 10:11, the dip stopped at 765.79. That's a few cents above the 10:01 low of 765.67. By the rules, that's a higher low, and puts come off the menu. Most people would ignore a few cents. I don't. The rule says wait for a candle to close back below 765.67. That happened at 10:16, when a candle closed at 765.48. Puts were back on, and SPY made its final low at 10:21.

Real-world lesson: Real trends wobble. A few cents can turn a lower low into a higher low. The rule doesn't care how small it is. Wait for the close that proves the trend is still alive.

Zoom 2: the trend break and the uptrend (10:12 to 11:00)

Watch the red dashed line. That's the last lower high of the downtrend, at 766.04 (10:14). As long as price stayed under it, sellers were still in charge.

765.00 765.50 766.00 766.50 767.00 767.50 768.00 768.50 769.00 769.50 10:15 10:20 10:25 10:30 10:35 10:40 10:45 10:50 10:55 11:00 LH LL HH HL HH HL LH? HL HH HL HH
Red dashed: last lower high (766.04). Gold dashed: the 10:33 body high (767.67). Green circle: the trend break. Gold circle: a lower high inside the uptrend.
  1. 10:21: final lower low at 765.26.
  2. 10:25: a candle closed at 766.22, above the last lower high. That's the first higher high. The downtrend is over. No more puts.
  3. 10:27: the pullback held at 765.86, well above the 10:21 low. That's a higher low. Now we have both pieces of an uptrend.
  4. 10:28 to 10:33: SPY ran from a 766.32 close to a 767.67 close. Higher high.
  5. 10:41, the messy part again: the next bounce topped out at 767.50, below the 10:33 high. A lower high inside an uptrend. By the rules, no new calls.
  6. 10:46: a candle closed at 767.79, back above 767.67. Calls are back on, and SPY stair-stepped up to 769.14 by 11:00.
Real-world lesson: Even a strong uptrend throws a lower high at you. The rule kept you out for five minutes, then let you back in. That pause is the price of not getting caught when a lower high turns into a real reversal.

Wednesday, Oct 28: the drop, then the chop

Not every morning trends. Wednesday opened with a fast drop: SPY fell from 771.59 to 769.27 in 19 minutes. Then it bounced back up and spent the next hour going nowhere, inside a box from about 770.15 to 771.10.

DOWN $2.32 in 19 min CHOP: about $0.95 range for an hour 769.00 769.50 770.00 770.50 771.00 771.50 772.00 9:30 9:40 9:50 10:00 10:10 10:20 10:30 10:40 10:50 11:00 High Low
SPY 1-minute, Oct 28, 2026. After 10:00, highs and lows overlap in a roughly $0.95 box. No staircase, no trade.

Inside that box, try labeling the swings. You get a higher high, then a lower high, then a higher low, then a lower low, over and over. When the labels keep flipping, there is no trend. Option premium bleeds while price chops sideways. This is a morning to close the laptop and go about your day.

How big a move are we actually looking for?

Here are the real numbers from these two mornings, measured candle body to candle body.

MoveTimeSPY move
Oct 27 downtrend, 9:39 high to 10:21 low42 min$2.94
Oct 27 uptrend, 10:21 low to 11:00 high39 min$3.88
One clean step: 10:28 close to 10:33 close5 min$1.35
Oct 28 opening drop, 9:30 to 9:4919 min$2.32
Oct 28 chop box, 10:00 to 10:5555 minabout $0.95 total range

Notice something. Nobody catches the whole $3.88. You find out the trend changed at 10:25, not 10:21. You don't need the whole move. One clean step of the staircase, like that $1.35 run from 10:28 to 10:33, is plenty.

Coming in a future lesson: what that move means for an option. As a rough rule of thumb, an at-the-money same-day SPY option often moves somewhere around 40 to 60 cents for every $1.00 SPY moves. By that rough math, a $1.35 SPY move could be worth something like $0.55 to $0.80 per share, or about $55 to $80 for one contract (100 shares). Real numbers change with time of day, how far in or out of the money you are, and volatility, so treat this as a ballpark, not a promise.

Quick Reference Cheat Sheet

You seeIt meansMy bias
HH + HLUptrend, buyers in controlCalls only, look to buy higher lows
LH + LLDowntrend, sellers in controlPuts only, look to sell lower highs
First LH in an uptrendBuyers getting tiredNo new calls
First HL in a downtrendSellers getting tiredNo new puts
LH + HL togetherSqueeze, no winner yetNo trade until it breaks
Wick through a high/low, body doesn'tRejectionDon't count it

Your Homework

  1. Pull up a 1-minute SPY chart from any morning this week.
  2. Between 9:30 and 10:30, mark every swing high and swing low with a dot.
  3. Label each one HH, HL, LH, or LL using the candle bodies.
  4. Circle the first spot the pattern broke. Ask yourself: would that have kept me out of a bad trade?

Do this five mornings in a row and you'll start seeing the staircase without trying. That's the whole point. Get in, get out, go about your day.

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